Page 34 - IRMSA Risk Report 2020

PERPE TU AL F AKE IT UNTIL WE
F L AG SPRING OF HOPE !
HANGO VER M AKE IT, OR NO T ?
Strong leaders are appointed
There is very little sense of in the right positions to make a
leadership for sustainable
prosperity for the people. The effectiveness and integrity difference. Public, private and civil
society leaders overcome their
of the country's leadership are
Proponents of good governance
LEADERSHIP increasing along with promoting differences and work together in
1 and longer-term thinking are
C AP A CIT Y an inspirational vision that puts cohesive structures to promote
vilified as counter revolutionary.
Populist leaders deem it SA first and is achieved through sustainable prosperity by making
cooperation.
touch decisions and embedding
acceptable to live in luxury while
most people in SA live in poverty. good governance in all spheres of
society and the economy.
Although the ruling party is still We build on the pockets of
struck with idealistic and populist
dogma, the President, with a excellence that our country
Government is weak and divided: number of strong supporters already possesses to encourage
INSTITUTIONAL fragmentation, factionalism, and leads the way to strengthen poorer performing institutions
2 to raise their game. Government
C AP A CIT Y confusion reign. Government's constitutional entities and State austerity measures take hold
austerity measures are stillborn. owned enterprises – albeit too and make a positive impact on
slowly to bring about immediate, investor confidence and SA's
definitive change. There is concern investment ratings.
that this may be too little, too late.
Factions within the ruling party
deepens and the "Zuptoids"
exploit economic and social The ANC continues to squabble The ANC unites behind a
with itself even as the walls of
challenges to recall the previous reformist leadership or, even
president. The ANC unites behind Luthuli House start tumbling better, the ANC and DA meet
3 POLITICS a cruel and corrupt leadership down. Somehow, the “moral minds around sensible economic
and becomes increasingly more underground” seems to keep SA reforms to labour laws, property
introspective, to the exclusion of afloat. A viable opposition, based rights, and the need for effective
all else. Over the next decade, we on fearmongering, overthrows the empowerment policies.
ruling party.
return to the past era of corruption
and State Capture.
Racial and social tensions
Racial and ethnic tensions Those who came of political age transition into a new mood
are intentionally amplified in the 2010s, many committed of reconciliation, unity and
amid rising levels of violence. and highly educated, light up the common purpose. The rebound
Resentment threatens to spiral into nation through their competence
SOCIAL irreconcilable social differences. SA and confidence. They revive a in the economy means that
4 South Africans emerge from
C OHESION is torn by deepening social divides, sense that real change is possible. their self-imposed enclaves and
cynical self-interest, immobility, A more confident spirit denotes live comfortably alongside one
and restless energy. It becomes a growing social cohesion, economic another. This promotes a new
demoralised land of disorder and expansion, and a renewed spirit of sense of common purpose and
decay. constitutionalism.
cohesion among the citizenry.
Cabinet introduces reforms to
labour market policy, secures
Redistributionist socialist dogma, Policy remains contradictory and property rights, dispenses with
led by idealism and populism,
takes the place of growth-focused confusing. People start ignoring affirmative action/empowerment
NATIONAL the Government and the State. policies in favour of an
5 reformist policy. An assault is
POLIC Y Resistance continues to grow, empowerment model based
launched against democratic and the Government quashes any on growth and employment,
institutions, property rights, and dissent in its tracks. and seeks out private sector
critical or dissenting voices.
investment to take the lead in
rebuilding SA.
South Africans are more in sync Policy changes are effectively
with each other as they see a implemented. An immensely
more coordinated State delivering impressive and efficient civil
better services. SA has become service arises, irrespective of the
a place where popular uprisings
Service delivery protests political party in power. SA is no
SER VICE increase dramatically and take have given way to the rising up of longer a country where people
6 the people, taking charge or their
DELIVER Y on repugnant racial and ethnic wait for Government to do
undertones. own destinies. Promises of a better something for them, but one in
life for all become more tangible, which they do it for themselves,
not only through the actions of and the Government helps to
Government but through the create the conditions for them to
power of people taking charge of do so.
their own destinies.