Page 60 - IRMSA Risk Report 2020
P. 60

4.3.10
        DISR UPTIVE  TECHNOL OGIES

         DUE TO A LACK OF APPRECIATION OF THE ORGANIC INVASIVE NATURE AND SCOPE OF DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES,
             ORGANISATIONS MAY NOT REALISE THE IMPACT OF THIS RISK UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE TO RECOVER FROM THE
                                      NEGATIVE COMPETITIVE CONSEQUENCES THEREOF.


               SCENARIOS                   FLAGS                     RISK RANKING OVER LAST 5 YEARS

                                      Leadership                                   RANKING SCALE
                                      Institutional capacity           10  9   8   7   6   5  4   3   2   1
                                      Politics
                SPRING OF HOPE
                                      Social cohesion
                                      National policy
           FAKE IT TILL WE MAKE IT...OR NOT?  Service delivery                     ANNUAL RANKING
                                      Inequality                    2015    2016   2017    2018   2019    2020
                                                                                    NOT
                                                                                            NOT
                                                                                                   NOT
                                                                     NOT
                                                                             NOT
                                      Economy                       RANKED  RANKED  RANKED  RANKED  RANKED
               PERPETUAL HANGOVER
                                      Global trends
                                      Climate
           Very few people really understand the true magnitude of this risk, thinking of it more in terms of big projects for robotic
           process automation, AI, autonomous cars, etc. However, disruptive technology could be as seemingly insignificant as a
         smart fridge that someone decides is a cool new value-add for the breakroom. We deal with bots, AI, Machine Learning, IOT
                devices, and more, every day without realising that it is an organic, systemic, and silent invasion of our lives.


               TOP 5 CHALLENGES TO ACHIEVING                      TOP 5 RISK TREATMENT OPTIONS AND
                             TARGETS                                          OPPORTUNITIES
         1.   Disregard for the “organic”/ “silent” intrusion of disruptive   1.   Carry out a full “risk context and maturity study” to understand and
             technologies due to the incorrect view that it only manifests in   determine the impact of this risk on the organisation.
             large AI or digitalisation projects.            2.   Incorporate “smart-tech” into risk decision making and internal audit
         2.   Failure by risk management teams to fully comprehend this   processes.
             risk and/or to incorporate new technologies into their risk   3.   Complete a “disruptive technology audit” with skilled advisors.
             management methodologies.                       4.   Upskill risk and executive teams in understanding and dealing
         3.   Non-recognition of the interrelationships between new   effectively with potential disruptive technologies.
             technologies and environmental risk, health and safety risks, ethics   5.   Extend governance obligations to oversee technology beyond IT.
             and compliance risks, and others.
         4.   Silo-thinking in organisations that limits their responses and the full
             utilisation of integrated thinking to mitigate technology risks.
         5.   Not understanding the ethical responsibilities and secondary risk
             exposures that come from disruptive technology opportunities.
                                                 FAC TS AND FIGURES


























                          Forecast economic impact of disruptive technologies in 2025, by technology type
         Source: Statistica.Com
   55   56   57   58   59   60   61   62   63   64   65